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Vartannat jobb kan försvinna
Hälften av alla svenska yrken kan ha försvunnit inom 20 år till följd av automatiseringen, enligt en studie. Störst risk att försvinna löper jobb som maskinoperatör, försäljare och kassapersonal.
Kollega har tidigare rapporterat om en studie där forskare i Lund och Oxford har listat 702 yrken utifrån risken att utövarna kommer att ersättas av en robot framöver.
Nu har nationalekonomen Stefan Fölster och forskaren Lars Hultman, utifrån den tidigare gjorda studien, räknat på hur automatiseringen med hjälp av dator- och robotsystem kommer att påverka de svenska jobben.
De har funnit att 2,5 miljoner jobb i Sverige kan komma att se helt annorlunda ut inom de närmaste tjugo åren då 53 procent av yrkena kommer att kunna utföras med digital teknik.
Studien presenteras i en rapport från Stiftelsen för strategisk forskning där det finns en lista över hur stor sannolikheten är att olika yrken tas över av datorer under de närmaste två decennierna.
Medan risken är störst för bland andra bokförings- och redovisningsassistenter, maskinoperatörer, försäljare och kassapersonal är den minst för bland andra chefstjänstemän i intresseorganisationer, civilingenjörer och dataspecialister.
- Vissa sorters industrijobb rationaliseras bort medan mer sociala yrken finns kvar. Utöver rena yrken bryts även arbetsuppgifter ned och ersätts av ny teknik säger Stefan Fölster, chef för Reforminstitutet till SvD Näringsliv.
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No guaranteed wages in Northvolt's US reconstruction
Northvolt's financial troubles continue. Now, the battery manufacturer's hopes rest on a reconstruction in the USA. However, the process means that the state guaranteed wages – lönegaranti – will not apply to Union members.
The clock is ticking for the struggling battery manufacturer Northvolt. During the autumn, debts have piled up with the Swedish Enforcement Authority, and recently several of the company's major shareholders withdrew from negotiations for new financing. Since its inception in 2015, Northvolt has raised SEK 110 billion, but now the money is almost gone. According to CEO Peter Carlsson, they need to raise just over SEK 10 billion in the coming year, but so far the search for new financing has been fruitless.
Maintaining control with Chapter 11
Therefore, Northvolt has now taken the next step to save the company. The management has applied for a so-called Chapter 11 procedure, a type of reconstruction process in the USA that was recently used by the airline SAS. One possible explanation for the battery manufacturer turning to an American court is that it is considered doubtful that Northvolt would be granted a Swedish reconstruction, as it requires the company to be fundamentally viable. Another advantage of Chapter 11 is that the management is likely to retain control over the company.
No guaranteed wages for employees
However, there is a downside – for the employees. In an American process, Northvolt's employees will not be able to benefit from the Swedish state guaranteed wages - lönegaranti - according to several legal experts contacted by Kollega.
– The Swedish state does not pay any guaranteed wages if the company has not initiated a reconstruction or bankruptcy in Sweden. If Northvolt only initiates a Chapter 11 procedure in the USA, all the company's obligations to employees in Sweden to pay wages and other compensation according to the employment contract remain, says Hans Andersson, chairman of the Swedish Association of Restructuring and Bankruptcy Administrators.
If Union members at Northvolt do not receive their wages, the union can, however, request the company to be declared bankrupt in a Swedish court.
– If Northvolt does not pay wages on time, the employee or the union can collect the wages through the Enforcement Authority and ultimately request that the company be declared bankrupt if the wages are not settled, explains Hans Andersson.
Unionen: "Will collect unpaid wages"
Filip Vujcic, a union lawyer at Unionen, also assesses that members cannot benefit from the state guaranteed wages when a corporate reconstruction is initiated in the USA.
– This means that Unionen, in the event of future unpaid wages, needs to safeguard its members' rights through wage collection. According to Swedish bankruptcy rules, a corporate reconstruction in the USA does not prevent a member's bankruptcy application from being examined in a Swedish court, he says.
Will Unionen request Northvolt to be declared bankrupt if members do not receive their wages?
– Unionen does not comment on that question at this time.
*In wage collection, Unionen usually sends a demand letter to the employer, who has seven days to pay the wages. If the wages are still not paid, the employer receives a payment order via service. If that does not help either, Unionen sends a bankruptcy application to the district court.
This text has been translated with the help of AI.
CHAPTER 11
- American reconstruction process aimed at giving a company a chance to continue with all or parts of its operations. Normally, no administrator is appointed, and the debtor continues to run the business themselves.
- The company must present a plan that must be approved by the court. The plan aims to determine which debts the debtor should pay and which debts should be written off. The plan also provides the opportunity to terminate unfavorable contracts and reorganize the business so that it can continue to operate profitably.
- One advantage of turning to a court in the USA instead of using the Swedish reconstruction process is that a Chapter 11 has an impact in several countries. If a group has companies in different countries, they are all drawn under the same process instead of carrying it out in each country and risking different outcomes.
